(..and by “thank” I mean come back with just a smidge of your new found wealth and become a paid sub so we can do it again)
First, Get this:
Do you have any idea what is the average time over the last 15 years for bitcoin to double AFTER making new highs? (Hint: that just happened on Monday, March 11th)
Ready??
18 days!
(Range was 10 to 35 days)
Here's that Useful chart:
We're still early. We typically go up to the RED area each 4 yr halvening cycle. That is a LONG way percentage wise from here at 73,000/ bitcoin (halvening is aprox 35 days from today, and bitcoin typically keeps running for 100 to 200 days after to the cycle peak)
If you have no exposure, consider calling in sick and meditating on this, and other recent STNN posts. Then take the action that's right for you and your family.
Honestly, I can’t think of anything more potentially life impacting that you can do, right now.
(Reading this a month or three later? Don't kick yourself! Hate has no home here. There's always a bull market somewhere. Let's find it. -Changa)
Print this and hang it on your fridge:
Bonus:
Here's another take from an excellent math quant and capital flows analyst:
Enjoy!
https://www.youtube.com/live/J-dS_gtZLzA?si=QviT-cx7DS6SPR85
DOUBLE BONUS!
FOOD FOR THOUGHT:
ONE MORE REASON YOU MIGHT NOT WANT TO BET AGAINST THIS BOOM
2022 year was uniquely brutal for investors, though many seem to have forgotten already.
Stocks and bonds both took a beating. It's rare for both asset classes to fall at once. And it meant that a diversified portfolio – which usually softens the blow of a bear market – did nothing to help investors.
Given that terrible year, you might assume that the boom of the 2010s is dead for good. But you'd likely be wrong...
The first is as simple as it gets: Historically, this secular boom is way too short to be over yet.
That might sound silly at first. Things don't just happen when it's "time" for them to happen... right?
Well, cycles do tend to repeat in finance. It's a type of analysis worth paying attention to. And these big cycles are extremely consistent in length over history. Just take a look at this table to see what I mean...
(*nothing here is to be considered individual investment advice. Always consult your trusted financial advisor and CPA*)
We've had two prior secular bull markets. One lasted 18 years, and the other lasted 19 years. The current boom, assuming it's still in place, is just 10 years old. And if you think it ended when stocks peaked in early 2022, it lasted nine years... only half as long as the previous secular bull runs.
Is that possible? Sure. Just because something hasn't happened before doesn't mean it can't happen now. But it's not a bet I'd make lightly.
The more likely scenario is that this long-term secular bull market is likely still in place... and it may well run through the end of this decade, or even into the early 2030s. Check it out:
Good Investing can be simple sometimes but never easy. I can guarantee when we get the capital flow numbers Monday, they'll show the smart money (funds) bought hard all the way into this dip. That's why Wall Street always wins. 😀 My guess is we'll see 90k btc within a week of the halvening.
Bogleheads. Did you know your "plain vanilla" Vanguard is loaded to the gills with BITCOIN? Yep.
Coinbase is selling bonds to raise another BILLION to buy bitcoin for their own corporate balance sheet, as is Microstrategy and other players.
Here's an excellent update (nothing here is financial advice. Always consult your DACFP credentialed Financial Advisor)
https://www.youtube.com/live/FZvP2XfVrZs?si=BP0PP_hzE7RShICZ